-4Snapshot ML · 7d
No edge
-100-500+50+100
OOF IC +0.66·Hit rate 77%·n=421
No directional edge predicted for next 7 days
Regime Overview
Fear & Greed30Fear
HTF StructureMacro Bearish
DerivativesNeutral
ETFsStrong Outflow
Exchange FlowsDistribution
Asset:
Brief price$73,871
Trade Idea
SHORT ▼4h61.8% notional
Entry$73,871
Target$71,934
Distance-2.62%
INVS4$75,163
INVS3$74,905
INVS2$74,646
INVS1$74,388
Entry$73,871
TGTT1$72,903
TGTT2$71,934
TGTT3$70,965
Returns Curve
HTF Technical StructureMacro Bearish
Price$73,871
Moving Averages
SMA 50$75,235 (1.8% above)
SMA 200$78,005 (5.6% above)
MA CrossDEATH
Momentum
Daily RSI37.6
4H RSI43.8
Daily MFI27.4?
4H MFI58.5
RSI/MFI Gap-14.7 pts?
VWAP
Weekly VWAP$74,776 (1.2% above)
Monthly VWAP$78,217 (5.9% above)
STH Realized Price
Cost Basis (155d)$74,908 (1.4% above)?
Distance-1.38%
CVD
Futures Short/LongFLAT / DECLINING
Futures Divergence
Spot Short/LongRISING / DECLINING
Spot Divergence
Spot/Futures AlignSpot leads?
Structure
StructureLH_LL?
Volatility
ATR (4h)$645.81
Volume Profile
POC$77,011 (4.3% above)
VA High$78,673 (6.5% above)
VA Low$73,871 (0.0% above)
Price PositionINSIDE VA
POC Volume12.5%
Rangeundefined candles (~NaNd)
Sweep Levels
Month/Week High$82,850 (12.2% above)?
Signal Freshness
Last Pivot Age5 candles ago
LLM Interpretation

BTC is in a confirmed macro bearish regime (LH/LL structure) with price at $73,871 — trading below the SMA50 ($75,235), SMA200 ($78,005), monthly VWAP ($78,217), and STH cost basis ($74,908), with no divergence confluence to suggest exhaustion. The near-term volume POC sits at $77,011 with a dense HVN cluster between $76,641–$77,749, making this the primary mean reversion magnet (~4% above current price); structural POC at $68,146 marks longer-term fair value and becomes the target if price loses the value area low at $73,871 (which currently equals spot price — a critical threshold). Daily RSI at 37.59 is approaching oversold while daily MFI at 27.35 is already depressed, creating a mild volume-confirmation mismatch worth monitoring: price-level momentum is exhausting faster than money flow confirms accumulation, suggesting any bounce is likely rotational rather than structural. With volatility compressed (ATR percentile at 0, compression confirmed post-displacement