ETH HTF Regime — MACRO_BEARISH / LH_LL Structure
Divergence confluence is the lead signal here: strength at 0.589 with RSI printing a high-magnitude bullish divergence (0.926) as price makes lower lows — momentum exhaustion on the downside is the primary mean reversion trigger to respect. Critically, however, there's a volume-confirmation mismatch: H4 MFI is elevated at 66.81 while daily RSI sits at a depressed 33.28, meaning buying pressure as measured by money flow does not align with the oversold momentum read — treat the divergence as a caution flag rather than a clean long setup until MFI confirms.
Price at 2023 sits 4.53% below the near POC (2119.09) and only 1.72% below structural POC (2058.40), with the two profiles diverging enough that structural POC at 2058 is the immediate gravitational target for any mean reversion bid — that level also clusters near the SMA50 at 2057 and weekly VWAP at